Set a budget. Now hell travel to PGA National, where hes gained strokes putting in three straight trips. He held the lead for much of the Farmers Insurance Open, finishing T-4, before consecutive T-20 finishes in Phoenix and Los Angeles. Rahm, who won this tournament in 2018 and rallied for victory in his last outing at the Sentry, is the 11-2 favorite in Caesars Sportsbook's latest The American Express 2023 odds. While encouraging, that has been his best finish since his win at the BMW PGA Championship10 starts ago. Montgomerys putter has cooled off, and hes been exposed a bit in the elevated events. Luke List ($7,300 DraftKings | $9,000 FanDuel). Anyone who backs one of his 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational sleepers could hit it big. The model was also all over Jon Rahm's (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 U.S. Open. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop," (below) where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. Play with friends. Schauffele (19-1), Zalatoris (19-1) and Tom Kim (20-1) also are top choices, while Si Woo Kim is priced at 29-1 at Caesars. Rai is one of the worst Bermudagrass putters in the field, and hes lost strokes on approach in four of his past five starts. Released Tuesday. Odds provided byTipico Sportsbook; accessUSA TODAY Sports betting oddsfor a full list. The pro-am event, once known as the Bob Hope Desert Classic, has an average winning score of 24 under par over the past 10 years. Bermuda: Mark Hubbard. Though he was never really at the top on Sunday with a chance to win, he played great in the runner-up finish and that should translate to another chance to win here. Hes played this event once, finishing T-17 last year while losing 5.24 strokes in the short game. Hes playing well, with three straight top-25 finishes while peppering in three top-10 finishes within his last nine starts. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. Morikawa is fresh off a T-6 at Riviera where he gained 8.25 strokes from tee-to-green, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Caddie: Scottie Scheffler (9-1, DraftKings) I do worry about him coming in highly motivated after losing the No. Max Homa and Talor Gooch. 1 Jon Rahm is looking for his fourth win of 2023. 7:52 am ET, be sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from SportsLine golf insider Patrick McDonald, You can head to SportsLine now to see all of McDonald's PGA picks and analysis, You can see who he is backing this week at The American Express 2023 at SportsLine, You can find out who it is, and see the rest of McDonald's American Express picks, predictions, and best bets at SportsLine, visit SportsLine to see Patrick McDonald's top prop picks for The American Express 2023, all from the expert who is up almost $700 on his PGA Tour picks this season, See full The American Express 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here, Spieth among many chasing at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to not play Players Championship, WATCH: Viktor Hovland drains ace at Arnold Palmer, How to watch 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Report: Pebble Beach will be designated event in 2024, Rahm leads (again) at Bay Hill after Round 1, 2023 American Express odds, field, expert picks, bets, Spieth among chasers at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to skip 2023 Players Championship, Report: PGA Tour to reduce fields of designated events, Kirk breaks 8-year drought with emotional Honda win. Bramlett will enter with back-to-back T-15 finishes, where hes gained over 10 strokes in the ball-striking categories. The putting woes continued for Spieth, who lost three strokes to the field in just two rounds at Riviera before missing the cut. Written by Jason Rouslin and released on Sunday evenings. Sure, many factors contribute to success and not all performers are defined by them, but the 2023 body of evidence already includes the likes of Eric Cole (P2), Ben Martin (T5) and Carson Young (T29), each of whom with attention-getting performances at PGA National last week. Powers, Golf Digest: Davis Riley (+650, DraftKings) Riley has fallen out of favor with the gambling community of late thanks to some so-so results, but his irons have still been cooking. Shriners: Emiliano Grillo. If youre look for win equity in the 40-1+ range, look no further than J-Day. Gdula: Matt Kuchar (60-1, FanDuel) Kuchar has flashed upside in reasonable spots over the past year, and he now heads to a course that can reward him for being accurate off the tee and not penalize him too much for being a shorter hitter. He gained 5.43 strokes on approach at the Fortinet Championship and again 7.03 at the CJ Cup. His last two starts have resulted in a T-11 and T-8, so clearly something is brewing for Day right now. Vegas has been impressive since returning to action from offseason shoulder surgery. His form is great, ranking second in the field for SG/total over the last two years and 11th for SG/total over the last two months. The only thing thats held him back is the flat stick, which weve seen him flip on a dime and win tournaments before. 2023 Honda Classic Best Bets & Predictions: Fade Matt Kuchar? Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. Hes lost a combined 12.9 strokes/putting over his past two weight starts. I like the consistency of Rai here in a matchup as a slight favorite. NBA Best Ball Rankings for DraftKings and Underdog, DraftKings Showdown Single Round Projections. Zozo: Sungjae Im. Heres what we know: Hes likely to be a great ball-striker, like he was at Riviera, where he gained 13 strokes in the ball-striking categories, and he has gained in 19 of his past 22 measured starts. Davis Riley Its like a rite of passage across the United States. Back the 2017 Open Championship winner to triumph at +3000 with Caesars Sportsbook. Trinity Forest Golf Club, 3. Jon Rahm Now Heavy Favorite at Arnold Palmer Invitational After Strong First Round, Arnold Palmer Invitational Bets: Bettor in For Wild Pay Day if Scottie Scheffler Repeats, Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Odds & Trends: Bettors Loving Will Zalatoris, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Longshot Bets: Keith Mitchell Scorching Hot, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational One and Done Picks: It May Be Collin Morikawa Time. 13 in the Power Rankings for The Honda Classic, he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for 21st with a Sunday 73. PGA Tour odds, lines, picks and His best finish over nine starts is a T-26 and hes the only golfer in the field who has played at least 30 rounds here and is losing strokes to the field. We run 1000s simulations for every PGA Tour event to predict the most likely outcomes and find value against the sportsbooks. . This site is strictly intended for adults (18+) Copyright 2023 PGA TOUR, Inc. All rights reserved. These DFS Golf cheat sheets will help you, The West Coast swing is already at an end as the PGA Tour moves to its seventh event of the season. You can see the rest of McClure's Arnold Palmer Invitational prop bet picks at SportsLine. If he puts together four complete rounds, Day will likely be in contention when Sunday comes around and McClure sees huge value in taking him to finish in the top-20. Gdula: Russell Henley (+410, FanDuel) Henleys profile is a lot like Morikawas: hyper-accurate, elite irons, bad putting. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner. If he can just make a few putts, which is conceivable on the slow, paspalum greens, his irons and accuracy should have him hoisting a novelty check. Palmer/Scheffler (5.4 percent). Bethpage State Park Golf Course 6. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of McClure's 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational prop picks, sleepers, head-to-head matchups, best bets, and his top one and done pick. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Cam Davis. Golf course Bay Hill Club and Lodge | Par 72 | 7,466 yards Course comparisons (according to He added another 2.10 around-the-green and still lost 1.16 strokes from tee-to-green. 1 ranking to Rory McIlroy, but he has not really been himself since Sunday at East Lake. Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: Tony Finau (18-1, BetMGM) Finau has yet to make his 2023 season debut, but dont allow yourself to forget how he finished last season. Millions in Winnings and Counting. It should be a birdie-fest this week when several of the world's top golfers descend on La Quinta, Calif. for the PGA Tour's 2023 American Express. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop" (above), where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. Aaron Wise ($9,200 DraftKings | $11,600 FanDuel). managing editor: Tony Finau (18-1, BetMGM) Nobody has been better over the past 24 rounds than Finau, whos third in SG/approach, sixth in SG/off the tee and 12th in putting. Our experts are torn. 13 in the , he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for 21st with a Sunday 73. Kim); Powers: 1 for 1 (Detry (+110) over McCarthy); Alldrick: 1 for 1 (Detry (-125) over Meronk; Mayo: 0 for 1; Gdula: 0 for 1; Gehman: 0 for 1; Hennessey: 0 for 1, Matchup Results from this season (Wins-Losses-Pushes): Hennessey: 5-1-0 (up 3.8 units); Gehman: 4-2-0 (up 1.65 units); Caddie: 3-3-0 (down 0.1 units); Alldrick: 4-2-0 (up 1.38 units); Powers: 2-4-0 (down 1.85 units); Mayo: 1-4-0 (down 3.1 units); Gdula: 0-5-1 (down 5 units). Hennessey: Viktor Hovland An easy case to make to roll with the two-time defending champ. The good news is that List has gained strokes putting in three of his five trips to Bay Hill, so heres hoping he can unlock those feels on the greens this week. From tee-to-green hes elite and now hes making massive gains with his putter. Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) After slotting at No. Rounds 2 and 4: Alternate shot. Affiliate Program Refer Friends & Earn! 2022 FedEx St. Jude Championship Sleepers: How to Bet Hideki Matsuyama, Corey Conners & Matt Kuchar, Join Stokastic Plus and Team with the #1 DFS Player, 2023 Honda Classic DFS Picks & Core Plays: Jhonattan Vegas Has Value, 2023 Honda Classic PGA DFS Targets: Christiaan Bezuidenhout the Ultimate Boom/Bust Play, PGA DFS Optimizer Picks Honda Classic: Shane Lowry One of Few High-End Options in Limited Field. Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) After slotting at No. 2023 Honda Classic PGA DFS Preview: Can Sungjae Im Bounce Back as Top Stud of the Field? CLICK HERE to learn more at HaveAGamePlan.org. Sungjae Im ($10,700 DraftKings | $11,900 FanDuel). His usually reliable driver has let him down, and he hasnt been as precise on his second shots. The main feature at PGA National (and most Florida courses) is water! The Chicagoland native has been playing fantasy golf since 1994, so he was just waiting for the Internet to catch up with him. Torrey Pines South 5. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to, From Golf Digest Architecture Editor emeritus Ron Whitten: Rahm is the best player in the world until further notice. Hes gained strokes with the flatstick in six of his last seven measured events. His game looks close, finishing T-5 at the Zozo Championship and T-21 at the CJ Cup in his only two PGA Tour starts this season. How about two idiots talking PGA Tour, golf betting, and everything in-between? Joaqun Niemann (R) of Chile celebrates with the trophy alongside friend and competitor Mito Pereira (L) of Chile after winning the final round of The Genesis Invitational at Riviera Country Club on February 20, 2022 in Pacific Palisades, California. Get Golf picks Since 2016, hes 6-for-6 in the API with a T10 in 2019. Pat Mayo, DraftKings/Fantasy National, Mayo Media Network analyst: Collin Morikawa (18-1, DraftKings) The results havent been close to elite in the swing season, but thats all 100 percent putting related. Matt Fitzpatrick might be coming back down to earth after his US Open win so take Jon Rahm to beat the Englishman in a 72-hole match bet at -130 DraftKings Oh, and a lot of laughs along the way. With winds projected to gust, a couple of confident sharpshooters will surprise despite the length of the track. This season, Zalatoris ranks 28th in birdie percentage, while his partner, Riley, is tied for 23rd. His perception has been buoyed by two straight third-place finishes at the Sony Open and American Express. Si Woo Kim, fresh off his Sony Open victory last week, also will compete, alongside the likes of Xander Schauffele, Will Zalatoris and Tom Kim. Scottie Scheffler (last three starts: T-55, 1, 1), 2. 1 Scottie Scheffler is back in action and back in his rightful spot as the solo favorite. Past results: Golf Digest's betting panel caught fire at the end of the summer, correctly predicting the winner in five of the final six events of the season.

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